Computing Leaders Release Scorecard for IEEE Computer Society's 2022 Tech Predictions – HPCwire
Since 1987 – Covering the Fastest Computers in the World and the People Who Run Them
Since 1987 – Covering the Fastest Computers in the World and the People Who Run Them
December 8, 2022
LOS ALAMITOS, Calif., Dec. 8 2022 – The IEEE Computer Society (IEEE CS) known for reporting top technology trends in computing, today reveals the official scorecard for its 2022 Technology Predictions. The scorecard for the 2022 predictions indicates the level of performance and impacts achieved for currently trending technologies against the projections made in January 2022. The IEEE CS Technology Predictions for 2022 garnered a collective grade of B/C.
The IEEE CS team evaluated their overall prediction of technology advancement with a score of B/C, and its impact on humanity a B-.
The highest success was attributed to the predictions for the Convergence of HPC, AI, and Data Analytics (tech advancement: B+; impact: B-); Datacentric AI (B+; B+); Remote Medicine (B+; A-); and Digital Twins in Manufacturing (B; B).
“On average, we ranked the impact of predicted technologies on humanity as B- with the overall confidence in all scorecard elements (success, impact, maturity) also a B-. This is very similar to our previous years, perhaps slightly on the lower side. This is not surprising given the very volatile past year due to COVID,” said Dejan Milojicic, former IEEE CS president (2014) and current Distinguished Technologist at Hewlett Packard Labs.
The team’s continued success in predicting was primarily brought down by NFTs (technology advancement D+; impact D/E), followed by unsuccessful predictions for Disinformation Detection/Correction (C), Low-Code/No-Code (C+), and Commoditization of Space Technologies (C+).
In terms of maturity, two additional classes were introduced for the first time – Unsuccessful and Broad Adoption. The NFTs and Commoditization of Space Technologies were classified as unsuccessful, and Convergence of HPC, AI, and Data Analytics were classified as Broad Adoption.
The following list compares the Top 16 Technology Trends for 2022, and is ranked by the grades for <success in prediction, impact to humanity, measured impact of technology, technology maturity, and confidence in the prediction>:
Top 16 Technology Trends Success, Impact, maturity, confidence
Convergence of HPC, AI, HPDA: <B+, B-, Broad adoption, B+ >
Datacentric AI: <B+, B+, Mature, A/B >
Remote Medicine: <B+, A-, Emerging, B >
Digital Twins in Manufacturing: <B, B, Mature, B+ >
Health, Safety, Wearable Biomed Tech: <B, B+, Mature, B- >
Safety for Autonomous Systems: <B-, B+, Mature, B >
3D Print in Healthcare: <B-, A/B, Emerging, B/C >
[email protected], Federated Learning: <B-, B-, Emerging, B>
Trustworthy AI: <B-, A/B, Emerging, B+ >
Confidential Computing: <B/C, B/C, Incubating, B/C>
Metaverse: <B/C, C+, Prototype, B>
Cybersecurity of Critical Infrastructure: <C+, A/B, Emerging, B->
Commoditization of Space Tech: <C+, B/C, Unsuccessful, B/C>
Low-Code/No-Code: <C+, C+, Incubating, B/C>
Disinformation Detection/Correction: <C, B/C, Prototype, B->
Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): <D+, D/E, Unsuccessful, B/C>
Following the established process from previous years, the authors who originally made the predictions in January 2022 evaluated their predictions individually. The averages and standard deviations were used as a basis for the discussion that eventually resulted in the final rating.
The IEEE CS team of leading technology experts includes Rosa M. Badia, Barcelona Supercomputing Center; Mary Baker, HP Inc.; Tom Coughlin, Coughlin Associates; Paolo Faraboschi, Hewlett Packard Enterprise VP and Fellow; Eitan Frachtenberg, data scientist, Hewlett Packard Labs; Vincent Kaabunga, AKEM Consulting; Hironori Kasahara, Waseda University; Kim Keeton, Google; Danny Lange, VP of AI at Unity Technologies; Phil Laplante, professor, Penn State University; Avi Mendelson, professor, Technion, and NTU Singapore; Cecilia Metra, professor, Bologna University and former IEEE CS president; Dejan Milojicic, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Distinguished Technologist and former IEEE CS president; Nita Patel, L3 Technologies, IEEE CS president-elect; Roberto Saracco, chair of the IEEE-FDC’s Symbiotic Autonomous Systems Initiative; Michelle Tubb, IEEE CS Director of Marketing and Sales; and Irene Pazos Viana, IT consultant.
Note: The statements expressed in this report do not represent the opinions of the authors’ employers.
Sign up to receive the highly anticipated 2023 IEEE CS Tech Predictions to be announced in January 2023.
About the IEEE Computer Society
Through conferences, publications, and programs, the IEEE Computer Society (IEEE CS) sets the standard for the education and engagement that fuels global technological advancement. By bringing together engineers, scientists, researchers, and practitioners from all areas of computing and at every career phase, the IEEE CS enables new opportunities and empowers not only its members, but also the greater industry. Visit computer.org for more information.
Source: IEEE Computer Society
More Off The Wire
Be the most informed person in the room! Stay ahead of the tech trends with industy updates delivered to you every week!
December 12, 2022
With climate concerns amplifying and the war in Ukraine destabilizing energy prices, the conversation around the need for low-cost, renewable energy has been rapidly evolving this year. It came to a head at SC22, where s Read more…
December 8, 2022
The U.S. Department of Defense wielded its JEDI powers to procure public cloud services with a diplomatic end to a feud between Amazon and Google to win the multi-billion dollar contract. The DoD broke up a $9 billion contract between the top four cloud providers – Google, Amazon, Microsoft and Oracle – for the Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability initiative, which will bring the defense branches – Air Force, Army… Read more…
December 8, 2022
Veteran HPC analyst Steve Conway has joined the Intersect360 Research team, effective this week. As Senior Analyst, Conway will conduct HPC market research with a special focus on AI, edge and composable computing, while keeping close tabs on the international technology stage. In an interview with HPCwire… Read more…
December 7, 2022
Ahead of SC22 in Dallas last month, I met up virtually with Ian Colle, general manager of high performance computing at Amazon Web Services. In this fast-paced interview, Colle walks through the significant HPC investmen Read more…
December 7, 2022
Hyperion Research delivered its latest outlook for the quantum computing market yesterday at the Q2B22 Conference, estimating revenues for 2022 will finish around $614 million and jump to $1.2 billion in 2025 representin Read more…
We have given you the flexibility and ability to run the largest and most complex high performance computing (HPC) workloads with Amazon Elastic Compute Cloud (Amazon EC2) instances that feature enhanced networking like C5n, C6gn, R5n, M5n, and our recently launched HPC instances Hpc6a. Read more…
In terms of AI developments, 2022 proved to be a banner year. AI production and usage increased and both deep learning and machine learning models steadily conquered increasingly complex problems. Read more…
December 5, 2022
A universal quantum computer with a million qubits will solve a wide range of problems, but even then, offloading entire problems to a quantum circuit may not be the best use of resources. With that in mind, companies and researchers are paying more attention to the concept of quantum-circuit cutting, which breaks down large quantum circuits into smaller fragments for execution across… Read more…
December 12, 2022
With climate concerns amplifying and the war in Ukraine destabilizing energy prices, the conversation around the need for low-cost, renewable energy has been ra Read more…
December 8, 2022
The U.S. Department of Defense wielded its JEDI powers to procure public cloud services with a diplomatic end to a feud between Amazon and Google to win the multi-billion dollar contract. The DoD broke up a $9 billion contract between the top four cloud providers – Google, Amazon, Microsoft and Oracle – for the Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability initiative, which will bring the defense branches – Air Force, Army… Read more…
December 8, 2022
Veteran HPC analyst Steve Conway has joined the Intersect360 Research team, effective this week. As Senior Analyst, Conway will conduct HPC market research with a special focus on AI, edge and composable computing, while keeping close tabs on the international technology stage. In an interview with HPCwire… Read more…
December 7, 2022
Ahead of SC22 in Dallas last month, I met up virtually with Ian Colle, general manager of high performance computing at Amazon Web Services. In this fast-paced Read more…
December 7, 2022
Hyperion Research delivered its latest outlook for the quantum computing market yesterday at the Q2B22 Conference, estimating revenues for 2022 will finish arou Read more…
December 5, 2022
A universal quantum computer with a million qubits will solve a wide range of problems, but even then, offloading entire problems to a quantum circuit may not be the best use of resources. With that in mind, companies and researchers are paying more attention to the concept of quantum-circuit cutting, which breaks down large quantum circuits into smaller fragments for execution across… Read more…
December 2, 2022
The Frontier supercomputer – still fresh off its chart-topping 1.1 Linpack exaflops run and maintaining its number-one spot on the Top500 list – was still v Read more…
December 2, 2022
The race to ever-better flops-per-watt and power usage effectiveness (PUE) has, historically, dominated the conversation over sustainability in HPC – but at S Read more…
September 23, 2022
Nvidia is not interested in bringing software support to its GPUs for the RISC-V architecture despite being an early adopter of the open-source technology in its GPU controllers. Nvidia has no plans to add RISC-V support for CUDA, which is the proprietary GPU software platform, a company representative… Read more…
November 18, 2022
One of the original RISC-V designers this week boldly predicted that the open architecture will surpass rival chip architectures in performance. “The prediction is two or three years we’ll be surpassing your architectures and available performance with… Read more…
August 30, 2022
It is perhaps not surprising that the big cloud providers – a poor term really – have jumped into quantum computing. Amazon, Microsoft Azure, Google, and th Read more…
August 22, 2022
Amid the high-performance GPU turf tussle between AMD and Nvidia (and soon, Intel), a new, China-based player is emerging: Biren Technology, founded in 2019 and headquartered in Shanghai. At Hot Chips 34, Biren co-founder and president Lingjie Xu and Biren CTO Mike Hong took the (virtual) stage to detail the company’s inaugural product: the Biren BR100 general-purpose GPU (GPGPU). “It is my honor to present… Read more…
December 5, 2022
NVIDIA is excited to announce the release of the stdexec library on GitHub and in the 22.11 release of the NVIDIA HPC Software Development Kit. The stdexec libr Read more…
November 12, 2022
Chipmakers regularly indulge in a game of brinkmanship, with an example being Intel and AMD trying to upstage one another with server chip launches this week. But each of those companies are in different positions, with AMD playing its traditional role of a scrappy underdog trying to unseat the behemoth Intel… Read more…
August 16, 2022
Tesla has revealed that its biggest in-house AI supercomputer – which we wrote about last year – now has a total of 7,360 A100 GPUs, a nearly 28 percent uplift from its previous total of 5,760 GPUs. That’s enough GPU oomph for a top seven spot on the Top500, although the tech company best known for its electric vehicles has not publicly benchmarked the system. If it had, it would… Read more…
October 12, 2022
Most talk about quantum computing today, at least in HPC circles, focuses on advancing technology and the hurdles that remain. There are plenty of the latter. F Read more…
September 2, 2022
Fusion, the nuclear reaction that powers the Sun and the stars, has incredible potential as a source of safe, carbon-free and essentially limitless energy. But Read more…
September 8, 2022
The steady maturation of MLCommons/MLPerf as an AI benchmarking tool was apparent in today’s release of MLPerf v2.1 Inference results. Twenty-one organization Read more…
August 2, 2022
The Universal Chiplet Interconnect Express (UCIe) consortium is moving ahead with its effort to standardize a universal interconnect at the package level. The c Read more…
November 10, 2022
AMD’s fourth-generation Epyc processor line has arrived, starting with the “general-purpose” architecture, called “Genoa,” the successor to third-gen Eypc Milan, which debuted in March of last year. At a launch event held today in San Francisco, AMD announced the general availability of the latest Epyc CPUs with up to 96 TSMC 5nm Zen 4 cores… Read more…
October 6, 2022
Intel is opening up its fabs for academic institutions so researchers can get their hands on physical versions of its chips, with the end goal of boosting semic Read more…
August 24, 2022
Fresh from finalizing its acquisitions of FPGA provider Xilinx (Feb. 2022) and DPU provider Pensando (May 2022) ), AMD previewed what it calls a 400 Gig Adaptive smartNIC SOC yesterday at Hot Chips. It is another contender in the increasingly crowded and blurry smartNIC/DPU space where distinguishing between the two isn’t always easy. The motivation for these device types… Read more…
August 12, 2022
Courtesy of the schedule for the SC22 conference, we now have our first glimpse at the finalists for this year’s coveted Gordon Bell Prize. The Gordon Bell Pr Read more…
November 19, 2022
For all of its politeness, a fascinating panel on the last day of SC22 – Quantum Computing: A Future for HPC Acceleration? – mostly served to illustrate the Read more…
© 2022 HPCwire. All Rights Reserved. A Tabor Communications Publication
HPCwire is a registered trademark of Tabor Communications, Inc. Use of this site is governed by our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission of Tabor Communications, Inc. is prohibited.