Commanders vs. Falcons odds, line: 2022 NFL picks, Week 12 predictions from proven computer model – CBS Sports

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The Atlanta Falcons will try to win their second straight game when they face the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta had lost two games in a row prior to that win, but it has a chance to get back to the .500 mark this week. Washington has won five of its last six games, including a 23-10 win at Houston its last time out. 
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 4 points in the latest Commanders vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 40.5. Before entering any Falcons vs. Commanders picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Falcons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Falcons:
Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Chicago last week, using a late field goal to pick up the win. The Falcons used 149 rushing yards to notch the win, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Washington has not played a home game since Week 9, which resulted in a 20-17 loss to Minnesota. 
The Falcons are only a half-game back of Tampa Bay in the NFC South standings, so they have plenty of motivation entering this week. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been solid away from home this season, throwing seven touchdown passes in five outings. He has also thrown just one interception in his last three road games, and Atlanta has covered in five of its last six trips to Washington. 
Washington has been one of the most underrated teams in the NFL over the past six weeks, winning five of its last six games. The Commanders have also covered the spread at a 5-0-1 clip in their last six games, rolling to a pair of double-digit road wins at Philadelphia and Houston over the past two weeks. They raced out to a 20-0 halftime lead against the Texans before coasting to a 23-10 win. 
Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has thrown for 1,031 yards and five touchdowns since taking over as the starter near the end of October. The rushing attack has stepped up as well, averaging 152.5 yards per game and scoring three times. Washington has won seven of its last eight games played in the month of November. 
The model has simulated Commanders vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Falcons vs. Commanders? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Falcons spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.
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