How Patriots’ playoff chances look to oddsmakers, computer simulations – MassLive.com
New England Patriots cornerback Jonathan Jones (31) celebrates with teammates in the second half of an NFL football game against the Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022, in Foxborough, Mass. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)AP
At 5-4, as they head into their bye week, the Patriots are within 1.5 games in the standings of over half of the AFC. So there’s a lot of uncertainty in the remaining half-season. Are they going to make up any ground in the division? Can they make the playoffs?
Below is a look at how simulators from FiveThirtyEight.com and ESPN’s FPI, as well as BetMGM’s oddsmakers, think the rest of New England’s season will play out:
FiveThirtyEight.com
The politics and sports analytics site predicts the Patriots will finish with a 9-8 record and has:
ESPN’s FPI
ESPN’s Football Power Index predicts each team’s record but their formula allows for fractional wins — for example, the Eagles are projected to go 14.8-2.2. The Patriots have whole numbers at the moment as the FPI projects them to go 8.0-9.0.
It gives the Patriots a:
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BetMGM
The Las Vegas bookmakers are not trying to guess accurately in terms of eventual results as much as they are trying to spread bets around to the most teams, allowing them to make the most money.
BetMGM, the casino’s online sports betting arm, offers bets on the Patriots who are:
MGM has several notable Patriots with odds to win awards:
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